Pre-tourney Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#74
Pace67.0#254
Improvement-2.0#270

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#53
First Shot+4.0#65
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#85
Layup/Dunks+0.7#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows+2.8#21
Improvement-1.0#232

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#110
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#88
Layups/Dunks+1.1#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
Freethrows+2.7#36
Improvement-1.0#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.5% n/a n/a
First Round2.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 324   Lafayette W 85-76 97%     1 - 0 -5.4 -2.1 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2015 4   Virginia W 73-68 20%     2 - 0 +21.8 +9.3 +12.6
  Nov 19, 2015 215   @ South Florida W 73-67 78%     3 - 0 +5.5 +0.4 +5.0
  Nov 22, 2015 251   Army W 92-81 93%     4 - 0 +2.6 +4.7 -3.4
  Nov 24, 2015 233   Gardner-Webb W 94-65 91%     5 - 0 +21.8 +11.5 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2015 91   Tennessee W 73-70 57%     6 - 0 +9.0 +1.4 +7.5
  Nov 28, 2015 32   Cincinnati L 56-61 33%     6 - 1 +7.2 +0.2 +6.2
  Dec 02, 2015 28   Seton Hall W 72-64 40%     7 - 1 +18.4 +8.4 +10.3
  Dec 08, 2015 120   Penn St. W 76-66 77%     8 - 1 +10.1 +8.0 +2.4
  Dec 12, 2015 271   Rutgers W 83-49 94%     9 - 1 +24.1 +3.5 +19.2
  Dec 19, 2015 207   St. Peter's W 87-74 89%     10 - 1 +7.1 +16.5 -9.1
  Dec 22, 2015 170   @ DePaul L 61-82 70%     10 - 2 -18.7 -7.3 -12.7
  Dec 29, 2015 173   @ Central Florida W 67-50 70%     11 - 2 +19.2 +5.1 +16.1
  Jan 03, 2016 148   Fordham W 69-63 82%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +4.1 +0.1 +4.3
  Jan 06, 2016 211   @ Saint Louis L 62-65 78%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -3.3 -4.4 +1.0
  Jan 09, 2016 151   Duquesne W 91-64 82%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +24.9 +14.5 +9.9
  Jan 12, 2016 162   @ Massachusetts W 81-70 68%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +13.9 +10.2 +3.6
  Jan 15, 2016 58   @ Dayton L 70-77 33%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +5.3 +7.1 -1.9
  Jan 22, 2016 90   Rhode Island W 62-58 67%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +7.3 -3.9 +11.5
  Jan 28, 2016 103   Richmond L 90-98 2OT 71%     15 - 5 4 - 3 -5.9 +2.7 -7.6
  Jan 31, 2016 196   @ George Mason W 76-70 75%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +6.8 +0.8 +5.7
  Feb 03, 2016 105   Davidson W 79-69 71%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +12.0 +10.5 +2.5
  Feb 06, 2016 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 72-69 25%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +17.6 +6.8 +10.8
  Feb 10, 2016 44   Saint Joseph's L 66-84 50%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -10.3 +4.2 -17.1
  Feb 13, 2016 83   @ St. Bonaventure L 57-64 43%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +2.7 -9.3 +11.5
  Feb 17, 2016 151   @ Duquesne W 81-74 65%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +10.7 +6.9 +3.7
  Feb 21, 2016 250   La Salle W 90-50 93%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +31.7 +13.8 +17.8
  Feb 24, 2016 103   @ Richmond W 73-61 49%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +19.9 +0.1 +19.8
  Feb 27, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-69 46%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +4.8 +1.3 +3.3
  Mar 01, 2016 196   George Mason W 74-52 88%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +17.0 +3.1 +14.8
  Mar 05, 2016 105   @ Davidson L 80-87 50%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +0.8 +5.3 -4.4
  Mar 10, 2016 211   Saint Louis W 73-65 85%     23 - 9 +4.8 +4.4 +0.6
  Mar 11, 2016 44   Saint Joseph's L 80-86 39%     23 - 10 +4.7 +12.6 -8.2
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 5.6% 5.6% 11.2 0.0 4.3 1.2 0.0 94.4 5.6%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.6% 0.0% 5.6% 11.2 0.0 4.3 1.2 0.0 94.4 5.6%